Funding the Commons San Francisco 2025

Decentralized AI: Beneficial Scenarios Workshop
2025-03-15 , Workshop Room

As AGI timelines shorten, many projections assume a centralized AI future. This workshop examines whether beneficial multipolar AI scenarios are feasible and how they might emerge. Participants will explore key geopolitical, technological, and economic factors shaping AI’s trajectory, aiming to identify actionable strategies for a decentralized AI landscape.


This workshop explores the plausibility of decentralized, multipolar AI scenarios in an era of accelerating AGI timelines. While many short-term projections assume a unipolar AI future—either through government-controlled labs or an AGI singleton—this session will examine whether beneficial decentralized alternatives are viable. Through breakout discussions, participants will analyze key factors such as geopolitical dynamics, AI governance, open-source momentum, compute distribution, agent economies, and research automation. The goal is to identify pathways that could enable a decentralized AI landscape while mitigating associated risks.

Allison Duettmann is the president and CEO of Foresight Institute, a leading San Francisco non-profit founded in 1986 to advance frontier technology for the benefit of life. She directs the institute’s biotechnology, nanotechnology, neurotechnology, and AI grants, fellowships, prizes, and technology trees. She founded Existentialhope.com, co-initiated Foresight's AI Safety Grant Program, The Norm Hardy Prize for Computer Security, and The Longevity Prize. She advises companies and projects, such as Lionheart, Cosmica, and The Roots of Progress Fellowship, and is on the Biomarker of Aging Consortium Steering Committee. She co-edited Superintelligence: Coordination & Strategy, co-authored Gaming the Future, and holds an MS in Philosophy & Public Policy from the London School of Economics, focusing on AI.

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