28.09, 09:45–10:30 (Europe/Berlin), ESA B
Sprache: English
Prof. Dr. Johanna Baehr, Universität Hamburg
Moderation: Daniel Krupka, GI
Predicting climate for a season or a decade ahead remains in many cases a formidable challenge owing to our limited scientific understanding and technical capabilities very much alike. In this time-travel talk, I will explore (failed) past predictions to learn for future forecasts. I will present recent methodological progress in predicting climate for the next season ahead using prediction systems based on the Max-Planck-Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM), focusing seasonal predictions for European climate — including a sneak preview of the climate predictions for the coming winter.