International Society for the Study of Drug Policy (ISSDP) 2024

Netchain Analysis of Cocaine Trafficking in Colombia: Patterns and Policy Implications

Netchain analysis is a useful approach to understanding cocaine trafficking in Colombia because cocaine trafficking networks combine features of supply chains and networks, and hence can be characterized as netchains. As cocaine moves across Colombia, it can be transformed from cocaine paste to cocaine base to cocaine hydrochloride, giving cocaine trafficking a supply chain like structure. Cocaine paste, base, and hydrochloride can also move across the country without being transformed into downstream products, giving cocaine trafficking a network like structure.

The present study uses data on the prices of cocaine paste, base, and hydrochloride across administrative regions of Colombia over time to extract the netchain structure of cocaine trafficking. The data were obtained from the Colombian Narcotic Police. We analyze this netchain structure using methods adapted from network analysis, which is used for homogeneous product flows, for netchain analysis, which allows for the product to be transformed as it moves across space. This netchain analysis enables us to identify structural features of the cocaine netchain in Colombia, providing insights into its properties and possible policies and strategies to disrupt the netchain. A by-product of this exercise is the creation of netchain-analytic statistics that are analogous to network-analytic statistics.

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Siddharth Chandra

I direct the Asian Studies Center and am Professor of Economics in James Madison College at Michigan State University. I received my Ph.D. in economics from Cornell University, A.M. (Ph.D. pass) in economics from the University of Chicago, and B.A. (with honors) in economics from Brandeis University. Prior to joining Michigan State University, I was Director of the Asian Studies Center and Associate Professor at the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Pittsburgh.

My research interests include pandemics, behavior and policy relating to addictive substances, the intersection of demography, economics, health, and history in Asia, and applications of portfolio theory to fields outside finance, for which the theory was originally developed. Geographic focus areas of my research include Indonesia and South Asia.