Are you sure about that?! Uncertainty Quantification in AI

There is a strong need in many AI applications to state the certainty about their predictions. This talk elaborates on different ways to perform uncertainty quantification in deep learning and classical methods.


With the advent of Deep Learning (DL), the field of AI made a giant leap forward and it is nowadays applied in many industrial use-cases. Especially critical systems like autonomous driving, require that DL methods not only produce a prediction but also state the certainty about the prediction in order to assess risks and failure.

In my talk, I will give an introduction to different kinds of uncertainty, i.e. epistemic and aleatoric. To have a baseline for comparison, the classical method of Gaussian Processes for regression problems is presented. I then elaborate on different DL methods for uncertainty quantification like Quantile Regression, Monte-Carlo Dropout, and Deep Ensembles. The talk is concluded with a comparison of these techniques to Gaussian Processes and the current state of the art.


Domains:

Artificial Intelligence, Deep Learning, Data Science, Machine Learning, Science

Domain Expertise:

some

Python Skill Level:

none

Abstract as a tweet:

Are you sure about that?! Uncertainty Quantification in AI helps you to decide if you can trust a prediction or rather not.