Pilar Niño

Lead Sourcing Partner at Novo Nordisk (via AMS) (DK Region)


Session

19/10
12:40
40minutos
How would remote work in Spain be affected if Godzilla destroyed the city of Murcia?
Alejandro Morales Kirioukhina, Pilar Niño

We propose a disaster-thinking exercise applied to remote work in Spain: what would happen if Godzilla, embodying a cataclysm, devastated Murcia? Using real data on population, remote work adoption, and the electrical and digital networks, we build a multimodal graph where the nodes represent teleworkers, companies, and infrastructure hubs. The monster is modeled as a "mobile shock" that removes nodes and triggers cascading failures of first order (Murcia), second order (neighboring regions), and third order (the rest of the country).

Current figures are presented: 15.4% of employed people in Spain work remotely, and 37.5% of companies allow it—but only 9.4% do so in Murcia, compared to the much higher prevalence of remote work in other eastern Spanish cities like Valencia or Barcelona. Using networkx and statsmodels, we simulate productivity losses, recovery times, and elasticity with respect to electrical and telecommunications redundancy. A brief predator-prey model illustrates how infrastructural inactivity “devours” active man-hours.

The second part subjects Valencia and Barcelona to the same scaled-up shock, demonstrating that national impact does not depend solely on city size. Instead, the density of teleworkers and the interdependence of external firms amplify the damage. We complement the analysis with results from a self-conducted survey on corporate protocols and individual willingness to work during a disaster. These results are used to calibrate assumptions about human behavior.

Comunidad, Sociedad y Cultura
Track 05 - E05, A02